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33% INCREASE In Repos | Auto Loan Debt Is Spiraling Out of Control

33% INCREASE In Repos | Auto Loan Debt Is Spiraling Out of Control

The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) is concerned about Americans getting deeper into debt. It’s not credit cards or mortgages that are raising red flags, it’s auto loans. Today, the average car payment is $733 per month. That’s nearly $9,000 a year in car payments alone. Rising car prices are leading to larger loan amounts and record-high monthly payments. The CFPB just released new data that shows auto loan delinquency rates increasing dramatically for deep subprime borrowers. 

Just how concerned is the Bureau? The latest auto lending data shows that borrowers with poor credit are struggling to make ends meet, largely due to the surging costs of owning a vehicle.

“We are particularly concerned about the impact of these changes on consumers’ financial health, especially for consumers with near-prime or subprime credit scores,” said the report.

Let’s take a closer look at the most recent auto lending data, why delinquencies are rising, and what lies ahead for tomorrow’s car buyer.

Deep Subprime Borrowers Falling Behind; Delinquencies Up 33%

One in three Americans falls within a subprime lending tier, which includes credit scores under 620. So when the federal bureau tasked with keeping tabs on American spending habits sounds the alarm, lenders listen.

The CFPB measures auto loan delinquency rates by quarter after loan origination. The loan origination year is called the vintage, and delinquency rates are tracked by quarter since the vintage was originated. This is considered the best way to detect when borrowers are taking on more debt than they can handle. 

Here’s what the Bureau highlighted in their latest report. 

When looking at delinquency in the first two years after purchase, loans originated in 2021 and 2022 are starting to show higher delinquency rates relative to loans originated in previous years, even when compared to loans unaffected by pandemic-related stimulus payments. For example, auto loans originated in 2021 have a delinquency rate of 0.67 percent in the sixth quarter after origination, which is 13 percent higher than the delinquency rate of auto loans originated in 2018.”

cfpb_credit-impacts-high-vehicle-costs_fig6_20.width-800
Delinquency Rate in First 8 Quarters After Origination by Vintage

Borrowers with poor credit are faring much worse. 

This trend is even more pronounced for consumers with subprime and deep subprime credit scores. For example, 2022 vintage auto loans for consumers with deep subprime credit scores were 2.4 percent delinquent two quarters after origination, which is a 33 percent increase from the previous five-year high set in 2020.”

Delinquency Rate in First 8 Quarters After Origination by Vintage for Deep Subprime and Subprime Consumers
Delinquency Rate in First 8 Quarters After Origination by Vintage for Deep Subprime and Subprime Consumers

Why Are Auto Loan Delinquency Rates Rising?

Cars are more expensive, interest rates are rising quickly, and together that equals record-high monthly auto payments. Over the past year, the average car payment has risen from $623/month to $733/month. Go back further in time, and the average car payment was $502 in 2017. When auto loan payments increase nearly 50% in just five years, lower income borrowers are the first to feel the impacts. 

Pandemic stimulus packages are over, and household budgets are struggling to adjust as consumer price indices show inflation at 40-year highs. With stimulus money gone (and student loan forbearance set to end at the end of the year), Americans have less money to spend on car payments. Car prices are up as much as 40% since pre-pandemic times, but there’s less money to go around.

Rising Auto Loan Interest Rates Add to the Pain

The federal reserve has made it clear that it will become more expensive to borrow money. Higher-risk borrowers are footing the bill in the form of MUCH higher interest rates. To get a better sense of just how bad it is for subprime borrowers right now, we crunched the numbers to find out how the average auto loan interest rates are adding well over $10,000 to the total cost of an auto loan.

Credit scoreAverage APR, New CarAverage Amount FinancedTotal Interest Paid (60 Months)Total Cost (Principal + Interest) 60 Mo. LoanTotal Interest Paid (72 Months)Total Cost (Principal + Interest) 72 Mo. Loan
Superprime: 781-8502.96%.$36,725$2,830$39,555$3,403$40,128
Prime: 661-7804.03%.$41,969$4,440$46,409$5,348$47,317
Near Prime: 601-6606.57%.$42,461$7,470$49,931$9,032$51,493
Subprime: 501-6009.75%.$38,802$10,378$49,180$12,603$51,405
Deep subprime: 300-50012.84%.$33,978$12,241$46,219$14,925$48,903

Used car buyers with subprime credit have it even worse, with the average deep subprime rates over 20%.

Credit scoreAverage APR, Used CarAverage Amount FinancedTotal Interest Paid (60 Months)Total Cost (Principal + Interest) 60 Mo. LoanTotal Interest Paid (72 Months)Total Cost (Principal + Interest) 72 Mo. Loan
Superprime: 781-8503.68%$28,639$2,759$31,398$3,322$31,961
Prime: 661-7805.53%$30,473$4,477$34,950$5,404$35,877
Near-Prime: 601-66010.33%$28,598$8,139$36,737$9,891$38,489
Subprime: 501-60016.85%$23,935$11,640$35,575$14,258$38,193
Deep subprime: 300-50020.43%$20,311$12,248$32,559$15,057$35,368

Borrowing less money at lower interest rates for shorter terms is the only way out of runaway interest debt. It’s easier said than done.

Looking Ahead

The CFPB says it is focused on ensuring a fair, transparent, and competitive auto lending market. The Bureau aims to do this by ensuring affordable credit for auto loans, monitoring practices in auto loan servicing and collections, and fostering competition among subprime lenders. 

The first step towards keeping auto loan debt under control is to spend less. But there’s only so much that government oversight can do. New car inventory remains historically low (but improving for some), and OEMs announce more MSRP hikes every week it seems. Automakers have been blatantly stating that they plan to keep inventory low long-term, and that’s going to keep new car prices high. And then there’s inflation.

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Is there a silver lining? If you’re willing to consider a used car, you have more negotiating power than at any point in the past year. Data from Black Book shows more used cars sitting on dealer lots for longer, and the bubble has officially burst at wholesale auctions. Dealers are eager to sell their inventory to minimize losses in a rapidly softening used car market. The result is more willingness to negotiate. 

Don’t settle for the sticker price. In fact, we think you should aim to negotiate between five percent and ten percent off of the sticker price on a used car. Thinking of selling? Selling sooner rather than later will get you more money as the used car market softens. 

What do you think about the latest auto lending numbers? It’s hardly a surprise when car payments cost as much as rent in much of the nation.

New Car Prices Hit Another All-Time Record, Now Over 80% of Median Income in 15 States

New Car Prices Hit Another All-Time Record, Now Over 80% of Median Income in 15 States

For the fifth-month in a row, new car prices climbed to a new record in August. Car buyers continue to pay more, even as signs point towards the bubble bursting. The latest industry insights from Kelly Blue Book and TrueCar make it clear that new car prices have yet to peak.

New Car Prices Rise: The Average Transaction Price Climbs to $48,301 in August

According to new data released this week by Kelley Blue Book, the new vehicle average transaction price (ATP) increased to $48,301 in August 2022, climbing 0.5% since July. August’s new car prices were 10.8% higher ($4,712) year-over-year from August of 2021. Luxury sales remain very strong, now making up 17.5% of overall market share. 

new car prices september 2022

There were 1.2 million units in inventory in August. At 43 days’ supply, that’s an improvement year-over-year. Still, new car inventory remains well below historical norms. See the latest new car inventory for each manufacturer here.

Ram, Volvo, Lincoln, Buick, Alfa Romeo and Fiat have the most competitive prices right now, selling 1% or more below MSRP in August. Hyundai, Land Rover, Honda and Kia continue transacted between 5-and-9% over sticker last month. Non-luxury vehicle buyers paid on average $1,102 above sticker price, an increase from July.

The average price paid for a new non-luxury vehicle last month was $44,559. Luxury buyers paid $65,935 on average, but KBB points out that luxury prices are averaging closer to MSRP than they had in months past. Non-luxury buyers paid $1,102 over MSRP in August, an increase since July.

Electric Vehicle Prices Climb in 2022

equinox ev price
The new 2024 Chevrolet Equinox EV, starting around $30,000. Learn more.

What price parity? It might be time to give up on that dream, at least for the short-term. The average price paid for a new electric vehicle rose by 1.7% in August. EV prices are now 15.6% higher than they were one year ago. The average price for a new electric vehicle is now $66,524, according to Kelley Blue Book.

Here’s how each market segment fared in August:

new car prices september 2022

Throwback: Remember Manufacturer Incentives? 

Manufacturer incentives slowed to a trickle in the second half of 2021, and they’ve yet to return in any meaningful way. KBB found that incentives decreased slightly in August, averaging only 2.3% of the average transaction price. Incentive spending remains at 20-year lows.

Some OEMs are more generous than others right now. Data from TrueCar shows that Stellantis (Jeep, Dodge, Ram, Chrysler) incentives are highest right now, but only at 4.6% of ATP on average. Volkswagen, Nissan and General Motors were all between 3.3% and 3.6% of ATP in August. For perspective, most automakers were offering incentives totaling between 6% and 8% of transaction prices one year ago.

Automakers Intend to Keep Inventory Low, and New Car Prices High

August’s average ATP of $48,301 is more than 80% of the median household income in 15 states. How much worse can it get before new car prices come back to reality? Sadly, even automaker executives note that they’re still selling every car they can manage to make right now. Demand remains strong, so there’s no incentive to lower prices right now. 

In fact, automakers are being forthright about their realization that keeping dealer lot inventory slim is best for them and the dealers. This summer, Nissan executive Ashwani Gupta shared the brand’s intention to keep inventory low, and his acknowledgement of who this strategy benefits. 

“We have learned that this is more efficient,” Gupta said. “And this is good for dealers. The dealer is ordering a car that is already requested by a customer.” 

Today’s car buyers have more leverage than at any time in the past year, if only they would negotiate a deal on a used car insteadWe’ve heard it all before, but what makes August’s data significant is the contrast with now 12 weeks in a row of major weekly price declines at wholesale auctions. 

Car Buyers Partly to Blame As the Used Car Bubble Bursts in Slow Motion

As the average price of a new car continues to inch towards $50,000, we must take a step back to understand how we got here, and where we’re headed. On the new vehicle front, the new record was driven by the continued popularity of luxury models, tight but improving inventory, and historically low manufacturer incentives. 

Kelley Blue Book notes that luxury share remains near an all-time high at 17.5% of auto sales. This inevitably pushes market averages higher, but it points to a larger underlying problem – new cars are becoming a luxury item out of reach for many. Automakers continue to announce cancellations of their more affordable offerings. The Chevy Sonic, Hyundai Veloster, Mazda CX-3 and Volkswagen Passat to name a few. It’s clear that they’re laser-focused on higher-margin models, no matter how much it further damages vehicle affordability.

Things Are Quite Different in the Used Car Market

We’ve pointed out for weeks that your best shot at a deal is in the used car market right now. You don’t have to spend over $50,000 on a new car with a $1,000/month payment. The used car market is certainly softening at wholesale auctions. Wholesale prices are down roughly 7.5% in three months, with luxury segments seeing sharper declines.

Think Twice About Buying New; Negotiate 10% Off Used Car Prices Today

Dealers are becoming anxious about the real possibility of losing money on used inventory they paid too much for just weeks ago. It costs them money to hold inventory, and they’re eager to sell right now. Everyone should be able to negotiate 5% to 10% off of the sticker price right when shopping used vehicles right now. Not sure how to go about doing that? Our very own auto experts are ready to empower you with the skills at the CarEdge Community. 

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Used Car Prices Are Crashing: Negotiate At Least 10% Off When Buying A Used Car in 2023

Used Car Prices Are Crashing: Negotiate At Least 10% Off When Buying A Used Car in 2023

At CarEdge, empowering you is what drives us. Car buying, selling and ownership are too often accompanied by hassles and headaches. We do our best to save time & money with real advice from auto experts. Right now, the used car market is going through some big changes. In 2023, buyers have more leverage. For four months in a row, used car prices have declined at the wholesale level. Retail prices are softening, and we’re seeing more CarEdge members negotiate better and better deals.

If you’re in the market to buy a used car your goal should be to get 5-10% off of the dealer’s advertised price. Still, some brands are more negotiable than others. In this guide we’ll walk you through what has changed in the market, why you have leverage, and how you can get that 10% off.

Let’s dive in!

Smart Dealers See the Trend; Use This As Leverage

Data from Black Book reveals that days to turn, a metric used to measure how long cars sit on the lot before selling, is increasing. At the same time, there are more used cars for sale right now than at any other point of 2022. Supply is up.

Increasing dealer inventories, paired with higher interest rates, means that car dealers are paying more “floorplanning” cost than they have in years. Floorplanning is the interest payments car dealers make on their inventory. Just like you and me, car dealers typically finance the purchase of their inventory, which means that as inventory sits and interest rates rise, dealers have a financial incentive to negotiate and lower their prices to sell vehicles.

Dealers are once again working hard to sell cars. How do they do that? They lower their prices. Suddenly, with the softening of the market, more dealers are negotiating again, and many are starting to drop their used car prices rapidly. A quick look at CarEdge Car Search shows that more vehicles are seeing price drops. Take a look at this 2021 Chevrolet Equinox, for example. This dealer has discounted the price by 14% in ONE MONTH.

negotiate used car prices

Over the past 35 days this dealer has dropped the advertised price by $3,500! That’s a 14% decrease in price in one month. Wow! As you can see, the most recent price declines are more significant. This is because the dealer is feeling the pressure of increased carrying costs, and a softening wholesale market (they can’t simply go to the auction and sell this car to make money like they could earlier in the year).

Use this information to your advantage! If you went to this dealership and requested an out the door price, be prepared to negotiate an additional 10% off of that amount. Why not? You already know the dealer is desperate to sell this car. Even if you end up with just 5% off, that’s still a win! 

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The 5 Reasons Why Now Is A Better Time to Negotiate

When you go to negotiate a used car, know that these are the five reasons why they’ll be willing to negotiate with you. Feel free to even print this out and show them if they give you a hard time!

  1. Floorplan costs going up – We know that it is costing the dealer more money to hold onto their inventory than before.
  2. Demand is going down and cars are sitting on lots – Dealers who overpaid for used cars a few months ago are nervous because demand has softened. This, paired with increasing floorplan costs is a recipe for disaster for a car dealer.
  3. Dealers can’t sell their cars at the auction for a profit – Just a few months ago car dealers were selling used cars at dealer auctions for a profit. Now that option no longer exists. Wholesale prices have crashed, which means dealers are going to need to sell to retail customers, or take a HUGE hit at the auction.
  4. Retail prices are beginning to trend downward, albeit slightly  Car dealers had been holding out. Even while wholesale used car prices plummeted, car dealers were not lowering their advertised prices. Well, that trend has reversed, and we are finally starting to see a softening in retail asking prices. 
  5. Dealers want to try and make a profit in the F&I office – Many car dealers are currently trying to sell used cars that they bought months ago for way too much money. Their best bet to breakeven on these deals is to take a loss on the front-end and to try and make it up on the back-end (finance and insurance). As long as you’re familiar with how to finance a car the right way, you should be able to get a better deal after all is said and done. 

In fact, you can now finance with CarEdge to secure a low rate through our credit union partners. Not interested? You can still use your pre-approval as leverage to negotiate a lower APR at the dealership. Learn more about financing your car purchase with CarEdge!

Work With Smart Dealers

Some dealers just don’t look at the big picture and are oblivious to the car price trends we’re seeing right now. Not every car dealer understands that right now is the time to give up some of the profit they had planned to make on a vehicle in order to make a sale today before prices drop further in weeks to come. CarEdge Car Dealer Reviews and Markups.org are great places to learn what others have experienced at dealerships near you. Crowdsourcing car buying experiences is changing the game for the better!

Should I Buy New or Used Right Now?

negotiate used car prices
2022 Kia Sportage

With both new and used car prices still greatly inflated, it’s important to think about how today’s buying decisions could affect your future finances. New car prices are up 6% year-over-year, and 24% since July 2020. There’s no sign of new car prices coming down, and automakers seem to be announcing MSRP hikes weekly.

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If you’re determined to buy a new car, don’t expect MSRPs to go down at all. However, more buyers who work with CarEdge are able to buy at MSRP, with some even securing a deal under MSRP. Check out our latest success stories!

Work with dealers selling cars without markups. They’re not common, but they’re certainly out there. With MSRPs likely to increase in 2023, consider yourself a winner if you buy the new car you want with zero markups or dealer add-ons. Don’t forget, you can challenge dealer add-ons!

Better Times Ahead for Used Car Prices

On the other hand, used cars are more negotiable than at any point in time this year. If you’re looking for a better deal, here’s what you need to know: used car prices are declining at the retail level, but we expect price drops to continue for many weeks to come. There will be better deals in the weeks ahead. 

While making long-term predictions is difficult right now, we’re confident that used car prices will be even more negotiable (with lower sticker prices) at the end of November than they are today.

If you are in the market for a used car right now, your goal should be to negotiate 5-10% off of the sticker price, or consider waiting a few more weeks (or longer) for the market to soften further.

Is It a Buyer’s Market?

Yes. As a buyer you have more leverage than at any point in the past 18 months. Does this mean used car prices are “good” or “fair”? No way. Used car prices rose 45% in 2021, so finding a true bargain is next to impossible. Used car prices remain inflated, but for those who need a vehicle, market conditions have improved, and are likely to continue to improve. Here’s what’s clear: you have more leverage today than at any other time in 2022. 

New Car Prices Hit A NEW Record; Monthly Payments Now Average $733

New Car Prices Hit A NEW Record; Monthly Payments Now Average $733

Another month, another new record for car prices. In July, new car prices climbed 0.3% higher, and the average monthly payment increased by 0.9%. Used car prices have decreased at the wholesale level for eight weeks, but new car prices remain at record highs as dealer inventory stays slim. Here’s the latest new car price data from Cox Automotive, what it means for new car prices in August, and our best guess as to when new car prices may finally start to come down. 

The Average New Vehicle Transaction Approaches $50,000

new car prices august 2022
Source: Cox Automotive/Moody’s Analytics

The average transaction price (ATP) for a new vehicle increased by 0.3% in July to a new record of $48,182, according to the latest Kelley Blue Book transaction price report. Year-over-year vehicle price increases are astounding. Since July 2021, the average new vehicle transaction has increased 11.9%, or $5,126. Looking back two years to the heart of the pandemic slump, the average new car transaction price is up 21.5% since July 2020. Worse yet, the ATP is up 58% over a decade. In 2012, the average transaction price was near $30,000.

Why are new car prices still going up? Rather than the prices themselves increasing substantially in July, other factors are largely responsible for the new record. The average interest rate increased another 19 basis points last month. The average auto loan interest rates across all credit profiles are 3.86% for new cars and 8.21% for used cars, according to data from MarketWatch. Gone are the days of zero percent interest rates, and the Federal Reserve will likely hike rates higher to get a handle on inflation.

Another factor contributing to record high average transaction prices is the popularity of luxury vehicles. Luxury vehicle share remains historically high, pushing the average ATP higher. The post-pandemic ‘K-shaped recovery’ has resulted in divergent economic situations from one household to the next. One family might be struggling to make ends meet, while the other is more well off than ever before. This trend has contributed to a surprisingly healthy luxury vehicle market, and more consumers willing to pay a premium for a new car in 2022.

Monthly Payments Surpass Rent For Many

The average monthly payment for a new car is now $733/month. That’s a new record, and it’s just a hair above June’s previous record of $730. Nationally, median one-bedroom rent is now $1,450, which is 11% higher than a year prior. In several Midwestern and Southern states, the average car payment is now on par with rent. We’ve never seen this before.

Cox Automotive’s Vehicle Affordability Index really puts this in perspective. The Vehicle Affordability Index is driven by the consumer’s vehicle transaction prices, the income of the consumer, amount financed by the consumer, and the interest rate provided by the lender. The result is a value that represents the number of weeks of the median household income in America that would be needed to buy the average new vehicle.

new car affordability index

The number of median weeks of income needed to purchase the average new vehicle in July increased to 42.2 weeks from a downwardly revised 42.0 weeks in June. In other words, the average new vehicle purchase costs as much as 42 weeks of median income in America. Financial advisors generally recommend keeping total car expenses below 20% of monthly income, but very few Americans are able to do that today. With an average monthly car payment of $733, monthly income would need to be AT LEAST $3,665 to achieve this.

New-vehicle affordability in July was much worse than a year ago when prices were lower, incentives were higher, and rates were much lower. The estimated number of weeks of median income needed to purchase the average new vehicle in July was up 15% from last year. One year ago, auto interest rates were near record lows, incentives still existed, and prices were 11.9% lower.

New Car Inventory Improves, But Only Slightly

In July, some automakers had improved inventory. Some, such as Ford and Toyota, had the greatest increases in inventory in several months. Still, with order backlogs and demand far exceeding supply, dealer lots remained nearly empty, and car prices remained high.

See the latest new car inventory numbers here.

New Car Prices Will Stay High For the Remainder of 2022

New car prices will fall once automakers are able to produce more vehicles. What needs to happen for vehicle production to increase? Supply chain disruptions must come to an end once and for all. We’ve been watching automakers ration their supplies of semiconductor chips, wire harnesses, and even electric vehicle batteries as the pandemic and the war in Ukraine continue to disrupt supply chains. 

There is now a question as to whether automakers will ever go back to their old ways of over producing vehicles and discounting them well below MSRP. They now see that consumers are willing to pay higher prices for cars, and that’s good for their bottom lines. As long as people agree to pay marked up prices, there will be no incentive to bring prices back down to historical norms. Many in the industry see this as the only path forward, given today’s market conditions.

A Used Car Might Be the Better Value in 2022

used car prices August 2022
Wholesale used car price trends, August 2022. Source: Black Book

There is a bit of a silver lining. For eight weeks in a row, we’ve been tracking steepening declines in wholesale used car prices. We can confidently say that a trend has emerged. At auction, used car prices have dropped about 4% in two months. We expect these declines to soon translate to retail used car prices, and at the very least, dealers will be willing to negotiate a deal. Based on past trends, we expect retail used car prices to begin to decline in September. Don’t hold your breath, a used car might be the better value in 2022.

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When Should You Buy an EV? Here’s How the New EV Tax Credit Affects Every Brand

When Should You Buy an EV? Here’s How the New EV Tax Credit Affects Every Brand

The Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 has thrown a wrench in the EV buying plans of many. Just three weeks after we first heard word of this deal between two Senators, it has been signed into law. Time is of the essence if you’re on the fence about an EV purchase! But don’t run out to buy that shiny new Tesla Model Y just yet. The language of the Inflation Reduction Act’s ‘Clean Vehicle Credit’ details requirements and important dates that you need to know about before signing a contract to purchase. 

If buying an EV in America is in your future, here’s what you need to know today.

What’s In the New EV Tax Credit? Income Limits and Several New Eligibility Requirements

These are the big changes to the EV tax credit:

  • For new vehicles, income is capped at $150,000 for individuals, $225,000 for head-of-household, and $300,000 for families (effective January 1, 2023).
  • The original 200,000 sale cap is removed on January 1, 2023. Tesla and GM will again be eligible.
  • To qualify, vehicles must have ‘final assembly’ in the U.S., Canada or Mexico.
  • The new credit is worth up to $7,500, with $3,750 from at least 50% of battery components being produced in the U.S. or Free Trade Agreement countries, and an additional $3,750 if at least 40% of battery minerals originate in the U.S. or FTA countries. These battery sourcing requirements begin when the rules are finalized by the IRS, which must be before December 31.
  • Beginning January 1, 2024, this incentive becomes available as a point-of-sale rebate.
  • A used EV tax credit begins January 1, with the lesser of 30% of the selling price or $4,000 available for used EVs purchased from a dealer and costing less than $25,000. Income is capped at $75,000 for individuals, $112,000 for head of household, and $150,000 for joint filers.

These new EV tax credit eligibility requirements eliminate several of the most popular electric vehicles on sale today. Here’s our list of the winners and losers, including those that will qualify for at least half of the new credit.

Tesla and GM: Wait Until January 2023 to Take Delivery

2022 Tesla Model 3 ev tax credit

If you’re considering buying a Tesla Model Y, Cadillac Lyriq or Chevrolet Bolt, wait until January 1, 2023 to make the purchase. The revised EV tax credit removes the 200,000 sale cap for automakers on January 1, 2023. The 200,000 sale cap had previously disqualified Tesla and GM EV models from the original $7,500 EV tax credit. 

Why only the Model Y? The Model Y is the only Tesla that will qualify for the new tax credit because of the price caps. The revised EV tax credit caps SUV and truck prices at $80,000, and sedans at $55,000. The only Model 3 under the price cap is the rear-wheel drive Model 3, but it sources batteries from CATL in China, so it is disqualified. The Model S and Model X are far too expensive. The Model Y is the most popular EV in America, so this is still good news for Tesla. 

Ford EVs: It’s Complicated

2022 Ford F-150 Lightning Pro

Ford makes the Mustang Mach-E in Mexico, and that’s not an issue as the new bill requires final assembly to be in the U.S., Canada or Mexico. However, Ford has battery sourcing agreements with numerous battery suppliers, and that’s where it gets complicated. 

Ford currently makes the Mustang Mach-E in Mexico with batteries from LG Chem (now LG Energy Solutions). LG manufactures these battery cells in Poland, but the battery pack assembly is in North America. It’s unclear if Ford’s battery assembly meets the 40% battery component requirement. Unfortunately, Ford just signed an agreement with Chinese battery manufacturers CATL to supply batteries for upcoming Ford Mustang Mach-E’s. This may disqualify the automaker briefly, but not for the time being. Ford has already announced plans for two battery plants in Kentucky and Tennessee. 

Does the F-150 Lightning qualify for the new EV tax credit? Yes, but it depends on where exactly the batteries are sourced from. Ford has said that is sources many F-150 Lightning battery packs from SK Innovation’s factory in Georgia, USA. That’s great for eligibility. However, Ford recently shared that they are sourcing more batteries for the Lightning from Chinese automaker CATL. That could complicate eligibility.

Most F-150 Lightning trim options that include the Extended Range battery (for 320 miles of EPA-rated range) are near or over the $80,000 price cap for trucks. Check your vehicle build specs and pricing to see if your total MSRP is under the $80,000 limit.

If you secured a written binding contract to purchase before the bill was signed, you could claim the original $7,500 tax credit when you file 2022 taxes. 

In summary, most Ford electric vehicles will likely qualify for at least half of the new EV tax credit, which would be $3,750. Of course, this depends on battery sourcing. It’s possible that Ford EVs could eventually qualify for the full $7,500 once we know more about where Ford’s battery suppliers source their minerals.  

EV Models Manufactured Outside of North America Have Lost Eligibility

The 2022 Hyundai IONIQ 5 EV tax credit
The IONIQ 5 won’t qualify for the new EV tax credit until Hyundai opens the new factory in Georgia. That could take two years.

Many of today’s best electric vehicles are made overseas for now. The Kia EV6, Audi etron, Polestar 2, and my own Hyundai IONIQ 5 are all disqualified due to the Made-in-America requirement. 

The language of the bill states that as soon as it is signed into law, EVs that do not have final assembly in the United States, Canada or Mexico will lose eligibility. The bill was signed on August 16, 2022.

See our full list of EVs that will lose eligibility, and those that will qualify

The ‘Transition Rule’ in the new EV tax credit allows buyers to claim the original $7,500 EV tax credit if the buyer has signed a “written binding contract” BEFORE the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 was signed into law.

Love legalese? Read the Senate’s Inflation Reduction Act’s text here. 

Shopping Used EVs? Wait Until January

The new bill states that the new used EV tax credit will take effect January 1, 2023 as a tax credit, and it will become refundable at the point of sale starting on January 1, 2024. There are STRICT limitations, however.

To qualify for the used EV tax credit, the vehicle must meet the following qualifications: cost less than $25,000; be at least 2 years old; and sold by a qualified dealer. Buyer income limits are an adjusted gross income of $75,000 for individual tax filers, $112,000 for head of household, and $150,000 for joint filers. Taxpayers are allowed one used EV credit every 3 years.

This Is A LOT to Take In

It’s a wild time to be in the market for an EV. Did we miss something? Let us know in the comments, or better yet chat with our EV and general car buying experts at the CarEdge Community Forum. You can also email me at justin@CarEdge.com. This is an evolving situation! 

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